Election 2004: Vote Early and OftenOhio Stats
Thursday, November 4, 2004, 07:41 AM
Some analyses of theOhio turnout the night of the election and the next morning relied on a supposed increase in turnout for Bush's base in the counties that had voted for him before, a big enough increase to outweigh any agins Kerry might have made over the turnout for Gore in those counties four years ago.
I decided to run my own check of this. You can download the results and see for yourself. I looked at only fifteen or so counties of the nearly 90 available, taking the first fifteen in alphabetical order that were listed in both the 2000 and 2004 tables from CNN.
The margin of victory is bigger this year in almost all of those counties, whether they were won by Kerry or by Bush. Let this be a lesson to politicians who want to make concessions to the center: no compromises!
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